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U.S. forces will soon need approval from Al-Scalia to work

December 17th, 2008, 11:10 am by jhogg

It’s the great riddle of the times — the good guys are fighting non-states trying to create states. But you can’t create a state that’s going to step on the good guys toes. But once the foreign guys (us) get the state going, the domestic guys (them) won’t bite if the foreign guys just ignore it anyway.

U.S. worried about need for warrants in Iraq

By Kim Gamel - The Associated Press
Posted : Tuesday Dec 16, 2008 16:49:27 EST

MAHMOUDIYA, Iraq — U.S. soldiers preparing for raids study maps, examine photos of wanted men and check their weapons. Starting next month, they’ll have to go see a judge.

For nearly six years, American troops have been free under a U.N. mandate to search any home and detain anyone deemed a security risk.

All that changes next month, when the mandate expires and a U.S.-Iraqi security agreement takes effect. From then on, troops must obtain Iraqi warrants for searches and arrests — and U.S. officers say the requirement is one of the biggest headaches in complying with the new rules.

“It takes away the option of saying, ‘Hey, this guy just came into town and we want him and we want him now,”‘ said Capt. Tom Smith, a company commander on his second tour in Iraq. “For some of us who were here before, it feels a bit slow.”

U.S. troops are scrambling to learn the ins and outs of an Iraqi legal system with unfamiliar rules and procedures, a cumbersome bureaucracy and a shortage of judges after years of violence.

“Unfamiliar rules and procedures” just sounds like a less-awesome way of saying compromised and corrupt. Iraqi justice, like Saudi justice, Kuwaiti justice, et al is a lot more about who you know and who you’re paying versus what can be shown. All that bunk about justice being blind, a big freaking ball of trust to put in any system, has more holes in it than Saddam Hussein’s kids.

Iraq’s courts are just lousy, with the all makings of any court in a half-baked state, Colombia, Saudi Arabia, take your pick of lousy court having countries. That article may be two years old, but the pie-in-the-sky expansionist dream that we’ll be able to graft western legal systems into non-western societies is about to be put through the wringer-on-the-ground of practicality.

Bear in mind, this is the same courts that summarily booted out 20,000 random convicts, detainees awaiting trial and just plain old folks thrown in jail to rot because… well, just because. See, Sunnis and Shias can agree on some things - like undoing a few years of legal work in a flash. POOF!

My advice for commander’s on the ground is to familiarize yourself with the old fashioned world of greased-palms. Bribery in the third-world is a subtle affair. Show up with piles of cash and you’re going to get hurriedly shoved out the door. There is finesse to the art.

But back when the Ball Gunner was but a lad he traveled to South America with Ball Gunner Sr., who was the ship captain for a merchant line. The custom’s officials came and left shortly thereafter, their wealth increased by a few cartons of cigarettes and perhaps some mid-grade scotch or bourbon. The trade off being that the customs papers were cleared with little hassle. The alternative, high-and-mighty approach, is to send the customs officials packing and prepare for your ship to sit idle, while paying buckets in port fees, for a thorough customs inspection. This is what those with good sense refer to as “the cost of doing business.”

Well, my guess is that commanders are about to learn all about “the cost of doing business” in the Iraqi courts. Paltry offerings, smokes and cheap booze, keep a lid on rampant corruption that gets greasy and entangling real quick.

Of course, if we’re going to have success, the coalition will have to show Joe Iraqi that Al-Scalia and Bin-Ginsburg are in charge of Iraqi justice. Iraqi courts have to dispense Iraqi justice, at least on the surface. Of course, if Iraqi justice steps on the coalition mission, the strategic poo will hit the legitimacy fan.

Technical difficulties, good news and Herman Göring

December 11th, 2008, 11:13 am by jhogg

1) The Ball Gunner, presumably under attack by shadowy forces intent on silencing dissent, liberty and the god honest awesome served piping-hot from this blog, has been suffering some technical anomalies. Keep checking back, we’re still around.

2) Hints of god news:
U.S. to raise irregular war capabilities (via the Wa Po)

Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, December 4, 2008; Page A04

The Pentagon this week approved a major policy directive that elevates the military’s mission of “irregular warfare” — the increasingly prevalent campaigns to battle insurgents and terrorists, often with foreign partners and sometimes clandestinely — to an equal footing with traditional combat.

The directive, signed by Deputy Defense Secretary Gordon England on Monday, requires the Pentagon to step up its capabilities across the board to fight unconventionally, such as by working with foreign security forces, surrogates and indigenous resistance movements to shore up fragile states, extend the reach of U.S. forces into denied areas or battle hostile regimes.

The policy, a result of more than a year of debate in the defense establishment, is part of a broader overhaul of the U.S. military’s role as the threat of large-scale combat against other nations’ armies has waned and new dangers have arisen from shadowy non-state actors, such as terrorists that target civilian populations.

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“The U.S. has considerable overmatch in traditional capabilities . . . and more and more adversaries have realized it’s better to take us on in an asymmetric fashion,” said Michael G. Vickers, assistant secretary of defense for special operations/low-intensity conflict and interdependent capabilities, and a chief architect of the policy.

This, if it bears fruit, and that is a big IF, is good news.

Directing the Pentagon to do something and the Pentagon doing it are, quite obviously, very different things. And as any defense contractor lobbyist will tell you, there simply is not much money to be made in counter-insurgency (I can’t remember now, but I read somewhere that the U.S. is not engaged in true counter-insurgency, but in counter-counter-occupation.)

Ultimately, a thorough effort in counter-insurgency means putting your fabulous military toys: jets and tanks and fancy weapons, long-range missiles, aircraft carriers, attack helicopters and the like — on the shelf to gather dust and mildew. Undoubtedly Lockheed Martin could develop a fabulous new system for distributing rice while Northrup Grumman devoted effort to a more efficient way to build roads and lay power lines. Boeing could then partner with Wal Mart to make consumer commodities affordable and accessible. The downside (for them) being that rice distribution, road graters, trenchers and retail are not multi-million if not billion dollar items. When war becomes highly profitable (which it always does for those not fighting it) those seeking high profits will want war. I have high hopes for Gordon England’s plan, and high skepticism that it will supplant the footing for traditional warfare so unshakably embedded in the Pentagon.

3) Now that the pathetic and corrupt Pakistani army is being split to botch the Indian border mission in addition to the Afghan border mission, supply lines have become a source of concern. Unless you’re this guy:

BRUSSELS, Belgium — NATO operations in Afghanistan will not be affected by escalating attacks on the alliance’s supply lines through Pakistan, Secretary-General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer said Tuesday.

The militants “should not be under any illusion that they can disrupt the lines of communication, since we have alternatives,” de Hoop Scheffer said.

Alternatives being, of course, air power. Like any trendy war writer, I remain highly-skeptical about the ability of air-power to project anywhere but the air. Al Qaeda’s air force is certainly no threat, but everything from fuel shortages (which must be supplied conventionally) to bad weather can turn a world-class airlift into a ground force within minutes.

Air forces routinely overestimate what they are capable of, as is best illustrated by one of the world’s most notorious air force commander. I doubt there are many men left from the horror days of the Kessel, but I’d like to speak with some of them about their opinion of air power.

Hermann Göring

Utter insanity

December 5th, 2008, 11:28 am by jhogg

The Washington Times clearly has gone hurdling, arms and legs flailing, over the waiting mouths of hungry sharks below. Today’s editorial must be written by mediums channeling some bizarre, other-worldly spirits peaking into a universe that is not our own.

A nuclear-capable Iran armed with ICBMs could be only months away. Meanwhile Washington drifts, awaiting more compelling news to shake it from its lethargy.

Which is to say that invasion by men from mars “could be only months away,” or that a total shift in the human psyche that will see 90 pound nerds and Ball Gunners heralded as the epitome of men “could be only months away.”graphics8.nytimes.com

The Iranian nuke program has become the ultimate Washington boogey man. Absent any evidence that Iran is working toward weaponized nukes, Washington has simply concoted their own. This is in addition to a missle program so hilarious that it became the butt of photoshop hilarity on Fark. Note a stellar success rate of the 75 percent in the released photo.

Now those Shahab-3s are rumored to be able to hit Israel, maybe, Allah willing, on a sunny spring day with no wind and all the planets in the solar system lined up. Being that Iran’s missile development now has pulled a few hairs ahead of the Third Reich’s 60 year-old V-2 rockets, the Times immediately jumps to the conclusion that Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles are just “months” away. I’m sure the Times thinks that building a longer range missile is just a matter of strapping a bigger booster, maybe a series of boosters, or just some Wile E. Coyote type contraption with a catapult, a series of booster and an anvil.

blog.wired.com

I occasionally cringe when I wade into the past and read some of the editorials I wrote in college. But I’d have a hard time coming up with anything this bad. We really should expect more from our media than blatent scare mongering. There are some real things we should devote attention to in this world. It really doesn’t look like Iran’s nuclear program is one of them. But I’ll lend more credence to adults who believe in Santa Claus than adults who believe an Iranian ICBM is going to crest the horizon any moment now.

img329.imageshack.us

A quick news run down and a happy Turkey Day

November 26th, 2008, 8:33 am by jhogg

It appears that Robert Gates will continue on as Secretary of Defense. For our locay fly boys (and girls) this has one major implication (which will be revealed after the fold - HA!)

From the LA Times:

By Julian E. Barnes, Paul Richter and Christi Parsons
November 26, 2008
Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates has agreed to serve in President-elect Barack Obama’s Cabinet, advisors said Tuesday, setting up the unusual situation in which a wartime Pentagon chief remains to work under a president who has condemned the previous administration’s policies.

An official close to the Obama transition team said it was likely that Gates would be named Defense secretary when the president-elect begins to unveil his national security team in announcements expected next week.


A former government official who has advised the Obama transition said it was “99% certain” that Gates would remain as Defense secretary for about a year in the Obama administration.

“Nothing is definitive,” said the former official, who like others spoke on condition of anonymity when discussing transition plans. “But Gates did agree to stay on.”

Gates continuation is the likely final nail in the F-22 Raptor’s procurement coffin. Gates, who famously said, “We’re fighting two wars, in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the F-22 has not performed a single mission in either theater,” is not going to give the Air Force the funding it wants for the program, nor is he likely to bow down to a Congress hoping to score political points by requiring their purchase. The chances for a procurement boom, already slim under a democratic presidency, are all but evaporated.

Part 2:

The Ball Gunner is pleased to hear that Al Qaeda has abandoned an area it never had:

From the Wall Street Journal:

WASHINGTON — Pakistan has replaced Iraq as al Qaeda’s main focus, and the terror group has stepped up its efforts to destabilize the nuclear-armed South Asian nation, according to a senior U.S. military commander.

“Iraq is now a rear-guard action on the part of al Qaeda,” said Gen. James Conway, the head of the Marine Corps and a member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, in an interview. “They’ve changed their strategic focus not to Afghanistan but to Pakistan, because Pakistan is the closest place where you have the nexus of terrorism and nuclear weapons.”

Gen. Conway also offered a stark assessment of the Afghan situation, saying the Taliban has built a rudimentary command-and-control network that enables the group’s leadership to direct attacks across the country.

“They move troops around. They resupply. They provide money,” he said. “It’s effective and it’s real. It’s not just happenstance that these guys know where to go and what to do.”

It’s an uphill battle to beat these fires out. But as has been noted time and again, Al Qaeda in Iraq is hardly the enemy we so desperately want it to be.

The monger sect likes to claim these arguments are mere semantics, which demonstrates only that they wield a keen judo grip on ignorance. Iraq’s long history of secular government has made the majority of Iraqis particularly poorly suited for the Salafist Islam espoused by the Osama Bin Ladin (may demons eat his flesh) and the structure of Al Qaeda (may demons eat their flesh, too). We need to get this through our head; if we can’t identify who we are fighting we surely won’t be able to beat them.

Finally:

Happy Thanksgiving!

As states weaken, the world finds a return to brigandage UPDATE: Somali Islam extremists to the rescue

November 21st, 2008, 10:48 am by jhogg

I don’t quite get the modern love affair with pirates. I wonder if in 350 years there’s going to be some romantic notion of the global Islamic terrorist network - “Osaba Bin Sparrow and the Curse of the Black Complete coverage of Somali piratesTurban” or something. They can get Johnny Depp the 12th to play in it.

Needless to say, for any ship captain sailing the full bore pucker patrol anywhere along eastern or southern Africa there’s not much room for thinking sweetly of dreamy pirates, not when the problem has gotten so bad even the world’s navies don’t know what to do about it.

The Saudis chose to negotiate. The Indian navy opened fire. The U.S. navy said shipping companies should do more to protect their vessels, and the ship owners said governments should guard the high seas.

But everyone wants the barely functioning government of Somalia to control the pirates who sail from its ports to seize the cargo ships and tankers that ply past.Mightily armed, but slightly baffled, 21st century civilization appears to have no collective answer to piracy, a scourge once considered banished into history.

“These are not just unskilled bandits,” said Russian navy spokesman Igor Dygalo. “Most likely we are dealing with two or even three pirate syndicates planning these attacks. They have very good sea communications and they’re well armed.”

We’re dealing with a major reality disconnect, here. Asking the Somali government to project seapower would be like asking Lesotho to plan a mission to Mars. Somalia, like most of the African east coast, is at worse a largely stateless region and at best a batch of paralyzing incompetence. Sudan, Djibouti, Eritrea, Somalia, Kenya, Tanzania - any of these sound like a naval power, even a REGIONAL naval power? The only thing that comes close is Egypt, mostly because they’ve got a thin strip of Suez Canal to guard with the Saudis on the other side.

Piracy now, like piracy back in the Golden Age of Piracy (whatever that means), is a feature of waning governments and global strife.
From wikipedia:

In 1713, a succession of peace treaties was signed, known as the Treaty of Utrecht, which ended the War of the Spanish Succession (also called ‘Queen Anne’s War‘). With the end of this conflict, thousands of seamen, including Britain’s paramilitary privateers, were relieved of military duty. The result was a large number of trained, idle sailors at a time when the cross-Atlantic colonial shipping trade was beginning to boom. In addition, Europeans who had been pushed by unemployment to become sailors and soldiers involved in slaving were often enthusiastic to abandon that profession and turn to pirating, giving pirate captains for many years a constant pool of trained European recruits to be found in west African waters and coasts.

Take a look at this map and tell me if you notice a trend. Sure, you get some outliers, but the majority of attacks are clustered around areas not exactly known for able governance. It gets even better when the government falls apart in areas like the Red Sea and the Straits of Malacca, there’s not much room to maneuver those big ships, tons of places to hide and lots and lots of poverty to help your recruiting numbers.

What’s really impressive about East Coast African piracy is that it’s actually well done. With all due respect to today’s editorial, comparing these guys to know-nothing carjackers or brainless thugs robs them of the respect they’ve earned. These guys are making piles of money and doing it bloodlessly. Take a ship, hold it and the crew ransom, wait to get paid, everyone goes home with an exciting story. Meanwhile the pirates get a pile of cash and a Robin Hood sort of image.

As Bad Religion once sang: Welcome to the new dark ages. We’re in a time when world militaries are in flux, power is contracting after more than 50 years of expanding. This sort of organized briganadge, which has never gone away, is only going to step up until someone steps in to fill the gap.

UPDATE:

I guess all is well. The Islam extremist figters from the Horn of Africa are going to save the day.

MOGADISHU, Somalia – A radical Islamic group in Somalia said Friday it will fight the pirates holding a Saudi supertanker loaded with $100 million worth of crude oil.

Abdelghafar Musa, a fighter with al-Shabab who claims to speak on behalf of all Islamic fighters in the Horn of Africa nation, said ships belonging to Muslim countries should not be seized.

In the past two weeks Somalia’s increasingly brazen pirates have seized eight vessels including the huge Saudi supertanker. Several hundred crew are now in the hands of Somali pirates.

The pirates dock the hijacked ships near the eastern and southern Somali coast and negotiate for ransom.

Saudi Arabia’s foreign minister said Friday that the Saudi government was not and would not negotiate with pirates, but what the ship’s owners did was up to them.

The Ball Gunner’s official prediction:

http://media.g4tv.com/images/blog/2007/11/27/633317514784490542.jpg

The crucial moment for Iraq

November 14th, 2008, 2:57 pm by jhogg

Things are looking dangerously poor for the Status of Forces Agreement in Iraq.

BAGHDAD – Iraq’s two most powerful Shiite clerics on Friday challenged the government’s planned security pact with the United States, undercutting efforts to reach a deal before the U.N. mandate for American troops in Iraq expires Dec. 31.

Shiite leader Muqtada al-Sadr renewed threats to unleash his militia fighters to attack U.S. forces unless they leave Iraq immediately, and Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani vowed to intervene if he concludes the proposed agreement governing the presence of U.S. forces infringes on national sovereignty.

Iraqi officials have said they will seek a renewal of the U.N. Security Council’s mandate if the pact, which would allow American troops to stay in Iraq through 2011, is not passed by parliament by year’s end.

Not only has the ever-growing pain in our rear bit Muqtada Al Sadr come out against the arrangement, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani has shouted his opposition, too. This coalescing of the moderate and radical Shia in Iraq under one opinion is nothing good for the coalition forces. The balance of power that consisted of Al Sadr’s radical forces vs al-Sistani’s moderates kept things moving forward in a slow, but steady, direction. If the Shia as a whole wrinkle their collective noses at the SOFA then we’re in for a spin.

The other side of this, is that the paralysis of the Shia has meant the Sunni have expanded their power. The Sons (and daughters) of Iraq were intended to be folded back into the country at large. As it turns out, the government has found it easier to keep buying them off.

For “Sons of Iraq,” being paid in U.S. dollars is becoming a thing of the past. Members of the armed civilian groups, credited with helping to curb violence in Iraq, received their pay from the Iraqi government for the first time this week.

The Iraqi government took over the “Sons of Iraq” program from the U.S. on Oct. 1. But only now are the Iraq security forces taking over from U.S. troops the task of paying the members, in Iraqi dinars.

Maybe its just my Ball Gunnie sense tingling, but does anyone else think elevating a sectarian militia to legitimate status is a cockamamie idea? As the Sunni militias grow in political power, it seems they will inevitably begin to demand more from the Shia government. If the Shia government denies their demands then the militias have the power and ability to destabilize sizable portions of the nation. Militias and governments do not play well together. Just ask the Pakistanis how it’s working in the tribal areas.

What the coalition, in specific the U.S., is likely finding is that ideological leaders, al-Sadr and al-Sistani, are a lot more difficult to manipulate than politicians. What it means in the long-term is yet to be figured out. There’s no telling what deals might be cut to keep operations in the clear before the deadline expires. I doubt if the deadline passed that anyone from CENTCOM on up would tell the boys to call it a mission and sleep it off in the FOBs until it’s time to come home. But it could greatly change the nature of the game.

Primarily, it gives the signal that the Shia, the majority of Iraq, are ready for us to go, and to go now. The idea of using Iraq as a base of operations in the Middle East, long unrealistic, has now become a chimera. The U.S. excursion into Syria, launched from Iraq, was widely denounced. Iraq is simply unwilling to be the top rope for the U.S.’ pro-wrestling style atomic elbows, for obvious reasons.

Second, if the Kurds get a wild hair during the power vacuum and make a break for full autonomy the whole region could get sucked into hell.

Admittedly, some of the Iraq demands for the SOFA were simply unworkable from the start. Man will walk on Pluto before the U.S. would allow an American troop to be tried in an Iraqi court, everyone in the Iraqi government knows that. This leads me to believe that these negotiations might have been loaded from the onset.

The U.S. better be preparing to do something else to enact its Middle East peace policy. The current administration’s efforts might unravel before the new guy even plops himself down in the office. As I’ve been saying for some time, if the situation deteriorates there is no political will for a second “Surge.” Any attempts to build support for it could torpedo the shaky support for ongoing operations in Afghanistan. If the U.S. objectives in both nations are left unfulfilled our nation’s credibility will likely never recover. Unfortunately, their failure or success may already be determined and out of our hands.

Bill Lind lets fly with an homophobic stinker

November 13th, 2008, 10:32 am by jhogg

I really like William Lind, and I like his “I am your grandfather’s Republican” sort of conservativism. But occasionally I think he puts his ideological cart so far in front of his reality horse that he wind up riding way around the bend.

His latest mad dash (Hyah! Mule!) “Obama First Test” is half partly right and half completely wrong.

President Obama’s first test in the national security arena is likely to come not from al Qaeda or Iran or the Taliban but from within his own Democratic Party. Powerful constituencies in that party, the Feminists and the gays, will demand that he open the ground combat arms to women and allow acknowledged homosexuals to serve in the U.S. armed forces. If he agrees to either of these demands, or both, he will begin his Presidency by doing immense damage to the fighting ability of the America military.

First and foremost, I simply can’t fathom anyone forcing the Army and Marines to open the “ground-pounding grunt” fields to women. There are good reasons to keep women out of infantry, engineers artillary and a few other professions. Simply put, any standard fitness routine will crank out stronger men than women. There are plenty of arguments to be made about agility, flexibility, dexterity, whatever, but when it comes to hauling a M-240B, with tripod and ammo, in addition to food clothing and whatever else a woman is never going to have the raw strength of a man. Ditto pounding pickets, loading Paladin rounds, doing a fireman’s carry, etc. The best metaphor I’ve ever heard is that when two guys are goofing around and wrestling their primary concern is winning (within bounds), when a guy is wrestling with his girlfriend his primary concern is not hurting her.

But Lind really heads out on a shaky limb when he speaks of “the gays” as unfit for duty for any of the same reasons as women.

Barring indisputable sissies, of which there are a fair few gay, straight and other, there is no reasonable explanation for why a gay man should not be allowed to volunteer to defend his nation. He tries to conjur up the usual imagery of two dudes doing it in the shower or of young Pvt. Billy getting raped in his foxhole by the evil predatory gay man and ends up conjuring nothing more than a ridiculous idea that no one with any sense would accept.

First, militaries must represent the society they spring from. There were grim forecast of death and destruction when the services were integrated, and there were unpleasantries. The result was a better, stronger, military. The modern U.S. military must represent the U.S., and our nation increasingly is ambivalent about homosexuality. This is, despite protestations to the contrary, a promotion of the Founder’s dream of creating a nation where “all men are created equal,” (which isn’t to say we haven’t fudged other parts of the Founder’s dream.)

Second, to assume a gay man’s future service would be lessened because of his sexuality is also to declare that all past service by homosexuals is lessened. You’d have to be stupid to assume that none of them men killed at Bunker Hill, Gettysburg, Verdun or the Ardennes Forest were gay. You’d have to be insane to think none of the names inscribed on the Vietnam Veteran’s Memorial are names of gay men. Should those names be chisled away?

And you’d have to be way adrift on moron sea to think none of the volunteers in our current military are gay.

Bottom line, there are gays serving in our military, openly. They are deploying with regularity. And the only ones that seem to care are the pogues in charge of the linguists program who are merrily booting Arab linguists (good thing we don’t need any of those right now.) Even when I was in, way back yonder from 99-03, there were guys that didn’t leave much question. They neither flaunted it nor hid it and behaved almost like you’d expect adults to behave. Other than a few oafs that remained perpetual privates, no one cared, and I never heard of anyone getting an unwilling rogering in the foxhole, either.

So, with all due respect to Mr. Lind, this column was a stinker. History is full of gay men serving in and even, ahem, leading militaries, and the nation most famous for turning out a true turd booting military culture was notorious for everyone shagging just about everyone else.

I’ll give a nod to Lind for being an idealist, there’s nothing wrong with that, and he’s a brilliant military thinker. But he also is an ivy league educated, Washington worker. He’d be about as comfortable slamming Bud Light with grimy Army Privates as he would be on a bed of nails. So when he writes things like,

One of the most basic human factors is that men fight to prove they are real men. They join fighting organizations, whether the U.S. Army or U.S. Marine Corps or MS-13, because those organizations are made up of fighting men. Their membership is a badge of honor that says, “We’re not sissies or pansies. We are men who fight, serving alongside other men who fight.” That tells others and themselves they are real men.

If ideologically-driven policies deprive fighting organizations of their ability to convey that message, men who want to prove they are real men will not join. Instead of men who want to fight and will fight, they will end up recruiting men who join for good pay, or education benefits, or because they can’t get a civilian job. Armies like that may fight when they have no other choice, but if they come up against opponents who want to fight, they will be in trouble.

I feel like he needs to be sat down for a good talking to. Bill, history is full of people who join up for pay, for the benefits and because they’re too aggressive, too undisciplined and too uneducated to do anything else. I’ve served with them, starved, roasted, froze, marched, suffered and at the end of the day gotten plowed like a champ.

Try feeding a Marine lance corporal or a young airman with a 19-year old pregant wife all that ideological stuff and be prepared for some weird looks. People serve for all sorts of reasons, and if a man wants to raise that right right and spend 3,4 or 20 years pounding pickets or hauling mortars we shouldn’t be in the business of stopping them.

The Ball Gunner extends a professional neener-neener to the New York Times

November 12th, 2008, 12:36 pm by jhogg

I remember posting awhile back that the reporting coming out of the Russia-Georgia “war” had become so shameful that even Joseph Goebbels would be forced to blush. Well, it looks like one of Georgia’s biggest cheerleaders finally has had some sense smacked into her big, gray head.

Georgia Claims on Russia War Called Into Question

Vano Shlamov/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images


Published: November 6, 2008

TBILISI, Georgia — Newly available accounts by independent military observers of the beginning of the war between Georgia and Russia this summer call into question the longstanding Georgian assertion that it was acting defensively against separatist and Russian aggression.

Instead, the accounts suggest that Georgia’s inexperienced military attacked the isolated separatist capital of Tskhinvali on Aug. 7 with indiscriminate artillery and rocket fire, exposing civilians, Russian peacekeepers and unarmed monitors to harm.

The accounts are neither fully conclusive nor broad enough to settle the many lingering disputes over blame in a war that hardened relations between the Kremlin and the West. But they raise questions about the accuracy and honesty of Georgia’s insistence that its shelling of Tskhinvali, the capital of the breakaway region of South Ossetia, was a precise operation. Georgia has variously defended the shelling as necessary to stop heavy Ossetian shelling of Georgian villages, bring order to the region or counter a Russian invasion.

Related
Georgia Fired More Cluster Bombs Than Thought, Killing Civilians, Report Finds (November 6, 2008)

As a professional. I realize that we all make the occasional mistake. To the Times I offer this sentiment of journalistic understanding:

http://paulbuckley14059.files.wordpress.com/2008/06/calvin-and-hobbes.jpg

with much love to Bill Waterson.

The Ball Gunner celebrates Armistace Day

November 11th, 2008, 11:36 am by jhogg

There are wars, and there are wars and then there is the Great War. Hands down nothing comes remotely close to the battles and the sheer human desire to clobber the crap out of each other. It’s just one big holey moley from start to finish.

You really had everything in place for a grand old crap-kicking: a stuck in the good-ole-days officer corps resistant to change, a continent full of political upheaval, massive technological innovation, collapse of existing political structures, the whole shebang. Everyone likes to credit Gravilo Princip for kicking off the party when he poked a hole in Franz Ferdinand’s head. But if it hadn’t been Princip and Ferdinand it would have been some other assassin/assassee combo or slight or insult or whatever else. Princip just happened to be the match that touched off the powder keg. But how gauling is it that a guy that looks like this

Gavrilloprincip.jpg

touched off four years of some of the most widespread slaughter ever seen? I mean, it would be like Steve Urkel touching off a nuclear war. And have you ever read the account of the assassination? It’s like a freaking Marx brothers movie. Wrong turns, a botched grenade attack, confusion. When the intended assassin, Nedeljko Čabrinović botched tossing a grenade he attempted to go out a la’ Hollywood by swallowing a cyanide capsule and jumping into a river. He choked on the pill and heaved it back up and found out his intended watery grave was a whopping four inches deep. Then Ferdinand’s driver made a wrong turn and Princip just happened to be there and manged to get his shots off by dumb luck. It’s sort of like political assassination as imagined by Mel Brooks: http://myspacetv.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=vids.individual&videoid=31138707

Anyway, Franz got offed and the world proceeded to go straight to hell.
The Austro-Hungarian empire mobilized against the Serbs
The Russians, under alliance with Serbia mobilized against the Austro-Hungarians and then ordered full mobilization against Germany
Germany, realizing the French would mobilize with the Russians, mobilized against both and went through Belgium
Britain, which had guaranteed Belgium’s neutrality, mobilized against the Germans
The Germans swung a deal with the sick man of Europe and talked the Ottomans into putting pressure on Russia’s southern flank
The U.S. tried to sneak ammo and weapons into Europe and the British issued orders to merchant ships to ram German U-Boats. When a German U-boat sank the Lusitania, an act that has been severely distorted, the yanks got involved.

By hook or by crook pretty much everyone got suckered in through one form or another, and Europe bled and bled and bled. In the Brusilov Offensive the Russians (whose fighting capability in the first World War has been treated most unfairly) mowed through 1.5 million Austro-Hungarian troops. In the Battle of the Somme the combined might of the U.S., France, the U.K., New Zealand, Australia and South Africa weren’t able to move the Germans, resulting in about a million dead schmoes out in the trenches. Noted on Wikipedia for July 1, 1916 when the Brits had 19,240 troops killed in a single 24-hour period.

Of course, the end of the war is just as famous as the beginning. The Armistace went into effect on November 11 at 11 a.m, six hours after the bleeding thing was signed. That’s where you get the whole “11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month” bit. It’s just really dandy to think that the thing was signed, dated and stamped but DIDN’T FRICKING GO INTO EFFECT because someone thought “Huh, all those 11s, wouldn’t that be dandy?”

The war didn’t really end until the Treaty of Versailles got the stamp of approval. The damned document the deposed Kaiser Wilhelm (peace be upon him) referred to as “the peace to end all peace,” and Wadda ya know, the one horned devil was right! The old twit Woodrow Wilson and his blasted fourteen points ripped apart the German political framework and put a worm eaten quilt of democracy over it, then the French eviscerated German manufacturing and military. Zing pow! Less than 20 years later they were at it again!

So here’s to Armistace Day. The sort of bloody end to an entirely bloody start to what would be a horrendously bloody century. I don’t think there are too any Great War veterans left this side of the pond, but think fondly of them as you munch your burger and fries and be grateful you’ll never know the taste of trench chicken or the smell of Mustard Gas/

Wilfred Owen (1893-1918)
“Dulce et Decorum Est ”
Bent double, like old beggars under sacks,
Knock-kneed, coughing like hags, we cursed through sludge,
Till on the haunting flares we turned our backs
And towards our distant rest began to trudge.
Men marched asleep. Many had lost their boots
But limped on, blood-shod. All went lame; all blind;
Drunk with fatigue; deaf even to the hoots
Of tired, outstripped Five-Nines that dropped behind.

Gas! GAS! Quick, boys! — An ecstasy of fumbling,
Fitting the clumsy helmets just in time;
But someone still was yelling out and stumbling
And flound’ring like a man in fire or lime . . .
Dim, through the misty panes and thick green light,
As under I green sea, I saw him drowning.

In all my dreams, before my helpless sight,
He plunges at me, guttering, choking, drowning.

If in some smothering dreams you too could pace
Behind the wagon that we flung him in,
And watch the white eyes writhing in his face,
His hanging face, like a devil’s sick of sin;
If you could hear, at every jolt, the blood
Come gargling from the froth-corrupted lungs,
Obscene as cancer, bitter as the cud
Of vile, incurable sores on innocent tongues, –
My friend, you would not tell with such high zest
To children ardent for some desperate glory,
The old lie: Dulce et decorum est
Pro patria mori.

More fallout from the Syria attack

October 29th, 2008, 11:28 am by jhogg

It doesn’t come as much of a shock that Iraq doesn’t want to become the base from which the U.S. pummels the rest of the Mid East. In the wake of the U.S.’ cross-border raid into Syria, the Iraq government has wedged what will surely be another controversial provision in the already controversial Status of Forces Agreement - that the U.S. cannot use Iraq as a launch pad for attacks against neighbors.

From the AP (via Yahoo news)

Iraq outlines changes it wants in pact with US

BAGHDAD – Iraq wants a security agreement with the U.S. to include a clear ban on U.S. troops using Iraqi territory to attack Iraq’s neighbors, the government spokesman said Wednesday, three days after a dramatic U.S. raid on Syria.

Also Wednesday, the country’s most influential Shiite cleric expressed concerned that Iraqi sovereignty be protected in the pact. Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani wields vast influence among the Shiite majority and his explicit opposition could scuttle the deal.

Government spokesman Ali al-Dabbagh said the ban was among four proposed amendments to the draft agreement approved by the Cabinet this week and forwarded to the U.S.

White House press secretary Dana Perino said U.S. negotiators in Iraq are closely reviewing the new amendments from the Iraqis to see if they are acceptable to the administration.

I have little doubt that the new amendments are completely and totally unacceptable to the administration. The purpose of securing Iraq has long been billed as creating a stepping stone against other belligerents in the region — primarily Iran.

The new amendments would represent a colossal failure of the war’s objectives by tying the U.S. to Iraq. Those who think the U.S. could sign and then simply renege when it became opportune lack any reasonable understanding of foreign policy. Were we to do so, every nation, organization and alliance with a treaty with the U.S. would view that treaty as worthless.

It’s pointless to speculate at this point, but no one in the Middle East is looking to be the launchpad from which the U.S. attacks its neighbors. I would not be surprised if Turkey is the next nation to slap restrictions on U.S. operations originating from its soil.

The price for this attack will be steep, possibly steeper than was anticipated. We can only hope it was worth it to kill a logistics expert.

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