At some point I’m really going to have to quit worrying about this sort of stuff.
WASHINGTON — As part of an escalating offensive against extremist targets in Pakistan, the United States is deploying Predator aircraft equipped with sophisticated new surveillance systems that were instrumental in crippling the insurgency in Iraq, according to U.S. military and intelligence officials.
This is the first I’ve heard about the Predators were “instrumental in crippling the insurgency.” Perhaps this is because I lack access to this trove of unnamed U.S. military and intelligence officials, but I’m willing to bet I’ve never heard the claim because there is really only one logical response to whoever makes it:

When it comes to the Iraq “insurgency” (as if there is only one) most people are referring to the ominous specter of Al Qaeda in Iraq, the hillbilly militia of Mesopotamia. And when it comes to AQI the only thing that crippled it was being AQI. The Iraqis are not fundamentalists, and whatever excitement might have been conjured by standing against the Americans was quickly stomped out by the idea of living in a hardline Salafist Islam society. The Iraqis ran AQI out afterwards, we just happened to be standing around to take credit. ![]()
But being misinformed or flat out stupid about Iraq is one thing. Claiming that a clearly decremental tactic is effective as a justification for using it again is another. The myth of winning through air power is a hardy one that no amount of dead joes and lost battles seems able to dispel. It was there at the Battle of Stalingrad, and there at Dien Bien Phu, and there at Khe Sanh and is still alive and haunting us in Afghanistan and Pakistan. Manned or otherwise, airpower is no more capable of “winning the war” or “crippling the insurgency” than a carrier group is capable of holding Death Valley. Used correctly air power is a valuable asset, used poorly it is exceedingly detremental. The U.S. will be no more successful at bombing the Pashtun into compliance than the Germans were in bombing the Brits or the French were in bombing the Viet Minh.
The sooner we understand this the better off we’ll be.







There’s too many conflicting stories to piece anything sensible out of the Caucasus hijinks at this point. First the reports are that 



